April 25, 2006
quote of the day
"What are the facts about global warming? The only honest answer is: we do not know. Nor is our knowledge advanced by scientists who are not climatic experts issuing sensational pronouncements. Detailed temperature records date only from 1860. These show that between then and 1915 there was no change in the northern hemisphere. Between 1915 and 1945 there was a rise of 0.4C, countered in the following 20 years by a fall of 0.2C. During the remainder of the 20th century there was a rise of 0.4C, making an overall increase of 0.6C over the century."--- scotsman
Wow. The globe warmed 0.6 degrees over the past century. Let us digest this information, form a big circle, hold hands and scream, "WE'RE ALL GONNA DIE!!!"
Hell, that's what environmental "scientists" are doing today. And numb-nutted politicians are listening to the scare-mongers. What we're got here is a frenzy of foolishness that generates more than enough hot air to account for a 0.6 degree rise in global temperature. If the idiots would just STFU we would do a lot more to fight global warming than worrying about CO2 emmissions.
Besides, my bullshit detector alarms when politicians work themselves into a lather worrying about the fate of the planet 100 years from now while they ignore our REAL problems, our NOW problems, such as illegal immigration and the inevitable collapse of our Social Security system, which AIN'T generated by some fucked-up computer model and AIN'T gonna wait 100 years to bite us. I call that fiddling while Rome burns.
The smoke from THAT fire is a bigger menace to this country than any greenhouse gas emmissions.
State of Fear by Michael Chrichton. I highly recommend it.
I'm reading that book now. Should finish it tonight.
Climate change is with us. A decade ago, it was conjecture. Now the future is unfolding before our eyes. Canada's Inuit see it in disappearing Arctic ice and permafrost. The shantytown dwellers of Latin America and Southern Asia see it in lethal storms and floods. Europeans see it in disappearing glaciers, forest fires and fatal heat waves.
Scientists see it in tree rings, ancient coral and bubbles trapped in ice cores. These reveal that the world has not been as warm as it is now for a millennium or more. The three warmest years on record have all occurred since 1998; 19 of the warmest 20 since 1980. And Earth has probably never warmed as fast as in the past 30 years - a period when natural influences on global temperatures, such as solar cycles and volcanoes should have cooled us down. Studies of the thermal inertia of the oceans suggest that there is more warming in the pipeline.
Climatologists reporting for the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) say we are seeing global warming caused by human activities and there are growing fears of feedbacks that will accelerate this warming.
People are causing the change by burning nature's vast stores of coal, oil and natural gas. This releases billions of tonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) every year, although the changes may actually have started with the dawn of agriculture, say some scientists.
The physics of the "greenhouse effect" has been a matter of scientific fact for a century. CO2 is a greenhouse gas that traps the Sun's radiation within the troposphere, the lower atmosphere. It has accumulated along with other man-made greenhouse gases, such as methane and chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs).
If current trends continue, we will raise atmospheric CO2 concentrations to double pre-industrial levels during this century. That will probably be enough to raise global temperatures by around 2°C to 5°C. Some warming is certain, but the degree will be determined by feedbacks involving melting ice, the oceans, water vapour, clouds and changes to vegetation.
Warming is bringing other unpredictable changes. Melting glaciers and precipitation are causing some rivers to overflow, while evaporation is emptying others. Diseases are spreading. Some crops grow faster while others see yields slashed by disease and drought. Strong hurricanes are becoming more frequent and destructive. Arctic sea ice is melting faster every year, and there are growing fears of a shutdown of the ocean currents that keep Europe warm for its latitude. Clashes over dwindling water resources may cause conflicts in many regions.
As natural ecosystems - such as coral reefs - are disrupted, biodiversity is reduced. Most species cannot migrate fast enough to keep up, though others are already evolving in response to warming.
Thermal expansion of the oceans, combined with melting ice on land, is also raising sea levels. In this century, human activity could trigger an irreversible melting of the Greenland ice sheet and Antarctic glaciers. This would condemn the world to a rise in sea level of six metres - enough to flood land occupied by billions of people.
The global warming would be more pronounced if it were not for sulphur particles and other pollutants that shade us, and because forests and oceans absorb around half of the CO2 we produce. But the accumulation rate of atmospheric CO2 has increased since 2001, suggesting that nature's ability to absorb the gas could now be stretched to the limit. Recent research suggests that natural CO2 "sinks", like peat bogs and forests, are actually starting to release CO2.
At the Earth Summit in 1992, the world agreed to prevent "dangerous" climate change. The first step was the 1997 Kyoto Protocol, which finally came into force during 2005. It will bring modest emission reductions from industrialised countries. But many observers say deeper cuts are needed and developing nations, which have large and growing populations, will one day have to join in.
Some, including the US Bush administration, say the scientific uncertainty over the pace of climate change is grounds for delaying action. The US and Australia have reneged on Kyoto. During 2005 these countries, and others, suggested "clean fuel" technologies as an alternative to emissions cuts.
In any case, according to the IPCC, the world needs to quickly improve the efficiency of its energy usage and develop renewable non-carbon fuels like: wind, solar, tidal, wave and perhaps nuclear power. It also means developing new methods of converting this clean energy into motive power, like hydrogen fuel cells for cars. Trading in Kyoto carbon permits may help.
Other less conventional solutions include ideas to stave off warming by "mega-engineering" the planet with giant mirrors to deflect the Sun's rays, seeding the oceans with iron to generate algal blooms, or burying greenhouse gases below the sea.
The bottom line is that we will need to cut CO2 emissions by 70% to 80% simply to stabilise atmospheric CO2 concentrations - and thus temperatures. The quicker we do that, the less unbearably hot our future world will be.
Concerned, you wrote about 500 words where I can use just one: BULLSHIT!!!
The earth is warming: as is the case in any politically polarized issue, statistics depend on who you talk to, but most scientists, hell, even politicians are in agreement that 'global warming' is occurring to some degree. The thing is, the earth has been around for 4.5 billion years and has gone through long and short cycles of global warming and cooling throughout that history.
The fact is, 'greenhouse gas' emissions are likely responsible for some of the warming we are currently experiencing. There is no doubt of that. There is huge doubt about how much warming is actually due to this: in essence, how much we are responsible for and how much is just part of another cycle.
The obvious point is, the proposed 'solution' to a questionable problem would be a disaster of never-before-seen magnitude in economic history. Cutting CO2 emissions worldwide by 70 to 80%?!? By doing this, much of the developed world would be condemned into poverty! Not to mention the plight of 'developing' nations who rely on coal power for their most basic energy needs, and can't even comprehend spending money on such things as solar plants and wind farms. Mention the horrors of global warming to a peasant in inland China who gets two hours of electricity per day. I don't think you'll get a friendly response.
Like you say, even for this and other wealthy countries, our NOW problems are a much bigger concern, illegal immigration and the national debt/Social Security crisis... and you didn't even mention Islam.
Guess that's two long-ass responses to one short blog post, sorry about that.
Dennis Miller says, if the moonbats are right, the people in Maine and Minnesota are gonna love it.
Is your real name Fred Pearce? If not, you owe him an apology. What you just did is called plagiarism.
Here is where he gets it wrong:
These links suggest (1) that solar cycles are getting shorter, which has historically been correlated with warmer temperatures on Earth, and (2) that the sun itself is getting warmer.
I think we can all agree that the earth is getting warmer; however, we [ ; ) ] simply do not know what role human activity has played in this phenomenon.
What people like 'concerned' fail to realize is that this planet's climate is very variable -- 400 years ago, the canals of Europe were frozen solid in winter and 400 years before that, the climate was warm enough to grow wine grapes in Greenland.
We are just entering into another cyclic warming period -- the idea that humans have any cause or effect is pure fucking hubris on our parts. We are the bacteria on the ass of the tick that is biting the elephant. Our contribution is so small as to be lost in the statistical noise.
Climate modeling is more snake-oil than it is science...
GW is BS and more total BS than one can imagine. Cooked up, (h that could be a funny), by the green goofies to keep their pockets packed with free money!