Gut Rumbles

November 01, 2004

i'll bet the under

Over at suburban blight, Kelley is convinced that voter apathy is a thing of the past. In fact, she believes that people are so polarized, so energized and so mesmerized by this election that voter turnout will exceed 70%. I hope she's right, but I don't think so.

I don't know how many of you ever bet on football games (I would never do such a thing. It's illegal in Georgia), but one of the bets you can make is the "Over" or "Under" on total score. For example--- last weekend Georgia beat Florida 31-24 (I LOVE being able to work that line into a post!). Total points=55)

I believe that the over/under on that game was 48 points. I you bet "over," you won. If bet "under," you lost. See how it works?

If Kelley is offering 70% as the over/under number, I'm betting everything I own on the Under. You couldn't get 70% of our lazy-assed, disinterested voters to show up at the polls for ANYTHING. If voter turnout exceeds 60%, I will be astonished.

Froth and lather, sound and fury and great weeping and gnashing of teeth marked every step of the Presidential campaign, at least according to those paid to either cause or report on froth, lather, sound, fury, tears and sound-bites. They TRIED to polarize, but I don't believe that even their best efforts are enough to overcome good, old American voter apathy.

This is a bet I hope I lose, but I'll take the Under.


Ah but wouldn't it be interesting to listen to the MSM punditry should voter turnout reach 110% of registered voters.

Posted by: Ralph Gizzip on November 1, 2004 08:16 PM

Actually, I will be pretty surprised if my "prediction" comes true. I do anticipate record voter turnout, but I don't know if I'd actually go much above 60%. Iffen I was to put money on it. Which I would never. Gambling is illegal in Georgia. Harumph.

Now, what I won't vouch for is the percentage of that turnout that is, well, fraudulent. Minnie Mouse. I See Dead People.

I think you take my meaning...

Posted by: kelley on November 1, 2004 08:38 PM

I stood in a 2 hour line to "vote early" on Saturday... it will be close, but I think Rob, that you will be right.

Posted by: caltechgirl on November 1, 2004 09:57 PM

I'm solidly with Rob. The lamestream media kept blathering about the "Huge turnout" in the DemonRAT primaries, but I saw a couple of pieces on the net which showed that the 2004 turnout, in most contested Dem primaries, was well below 2000 and 1996. I bet that 60% is the absolute tops in turnout. Not that I would bet illegally of course.

Posted by: John Cunningham on November 1, 2004 10:49 PM

Some of us who aren't going to vote tomorrow are not lazy. Some of us simply can't bring ourselves to vote for a Democrat and don't think W merits re-election. I'm sitting out the first election since I was old enough to vote in 1980 -- and I'm going to feel good about it.

Posted by: CitadelGrad on November 2, 2004 01:51 AM

I have been all over town tonight, painting swastikas on bush signs.Here in Oklahoma City,that is dangerous business.

Posted by: Frank on November 2, 2004 03:42 AM

Are we talking Georgia alone? The SoS has predicted a turnout of 72%. I will wager that we'll cover the 70% threshold. Also, can we not talk about that UGA score.....Richt couldn't cover if his life depended on it.....and I'm a huge UGA fan! bah!

Posted by: Chris on November 2, 2004 07:54 AM
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